EFL Championship: Portsmouth vs Derby County

Match Information

Competition: EFL Championship

Fixture: Portsmouth vs Derby County

Time: March 16, 2026, 20:00 (Beijing Time)

Venue: Portsmouth's Home Ground

Current League Standings

Portsmouth (Home Team)

• Ranking: 20th
• Record: 36 matches, 10 wins, 10 draws, 16 losses, 40 points
• Goals Scored/Conceded: 36 scored, 47 conceded (Goal difference -11)
• Win Rate: 27.8%
• Average Points Per Game: 1.11

Derby County (Away Team)

• Ranking: 8th
• Record: 37 matches, 15 wins, 9 draws, 13 losses, 54 points
• Goals Scored/Conceded: 54 scored, 48 conceded (Goal difference +6)
• Win Rate: 40.5%
• Average Points Per Game: 1.46

Data Comparison Analysis

Attacking and Defensive Capabilities Comparison

Attack:

• Portsmouth Average Goals Per Game: 1.0
• Derby County Average Goals Per Game: 1.46
• Derby County clearly holds the advantage in attack, scoring an average of 0.46 more goals per game.

Defence:

• Portsmouth Average Goals Conceded Per Game: 1.31
• Derby County Average Goals Conceded Per Game: 1.30
• Both teams show comparable defensive levels, with Derby County holding a slight edge.

Home and Away Factors

As the home team, Portsmouth typically benefits from the support of their fans. However, given their current league standing and overall performance, their home advantage might be limited. Derby County, as the higher-ranked side, possesses away game capabilities that are worth keeping an eye on.

Recent Form Analysis

Portsmouth's Recent Form

• Currently on 40 points, facing some pressure to stay clear of the relegation zone.
• Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses highlights a lack of consistency.
• Offensive efficiency is low, averaging just one goal per game, indicating a need for a breakthrough in attack.

Derby County's Recent Form

• Ranked 8th, positioning them in the upper-mid table of the EFL Championship.
• 54 goals scored demonstrates ample attacking prowess.
• 15 victories showcase the team's competitiveness and stability.

Key Data Metrics

• Goal Difference Gap: Derby County (+6) vs Portsmouth (-11), a significant 17-goal difference.
• Goal Scoring Efficiency: Derby County has scored 18 more goals than Portsmouth.
• Points Difference: The 14-point gap clearly reflects the disparity in strength between the two teams.
• Win Rate Comparison: Derby County 40.5% vs Portsmouth 27.8%.

Match Prediction

Based on the data analysis above:

Predicted Score

Portsmouth 1-2 Derby County

Reasons for Analysis

1. Derby County holds an advantage across all key data metrics.

2. Derby County's attacking power is clearly superior to Portsmouth's.

3. The difference in league standing reflects the gap in overall strength.

4. Derby County is motivated to push for a higher league position.

Confidence Rating

⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (4 Stars)

Derby County has a strong probability of securing an away victory, but considering Portsmouth's home advantage and the competitive nature of the EFL Championship, the match still holds some variables.

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Disclaimer: The above analysis is based on publicly available match data and is provided for fan reference and discussion only. It does not constitute any betting advice.